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Sunday, December 26, 2004
Happy Boxing Day
Three in the morning. My aunt's house. Can't sleep. Sitting around.



I'm reading back issues of The Advocate, eating more of her tangerines than is polite and contemplating the nature of the universe.

I don't know the secret of the universe yet, but I wanted to let you all know that I'm working on it, and you'll be the first ones I tell.

Saturday, December 25, 2004
Spectrum©
[This week's question on BlogSpectrum: Is the American electoral process broken? If not, why and can it be improved? If it is broken, what needs to be changed?]
Even though the Ukrainian Intelligence Service offers us some of their delicious borsch whenever we say it, this is NPR.

—Tom & Dave
Car Talk

Asking if the American election system is broken is a bit like asking if the Bill Murray character in a Wes Anderson film (Rushmore, The Royal Tennenbaums, The Life Aquatic) is the good guy. Murray generally plays characters that are horrible psychotics, or at least horribly maladjusted nurotics. But people like them because Anderson drapes all his characters in a sort of cellophane charm—and because the only characters that are even worse are everyone else in the movie.

Like a Murray character, American elections are, as a rule, incompetent, unethical and immoral. Like a Murray character, people hold them in high esteem mostly through a fragile illusion of shallow charm. And like a Murray character, the only thing worse than American elections is everything else.

Incompetent, unethical and immoral? The actual process of elections in this country is handled on a state-by-state basis. Each state, and in some cases, each county, controls the mechanics of the election: choosing machines, counting ballots and keeping accurate voting rolls. The bigger problems are well known: recently it was revealed Black Box Voting's video of a monkey hacking a Diebold electronic voting machine was staged, and that, in fact, you need the intelligence of a sixth-grader with a playstation in order to change the results on a Diebold machine. What people don't see are the smaller, sytematic injustices.

Part of my job this fall, as an intern with the Kerry campaign, was to help people who called in find their voting place. The three public housing projects (read: poor people) in Charleston, West Virginia, voted in precincts 162, 165 and 167. The polling place for precinct 162 was in precinct 165 and the polling place for precinct 165 was in precinct 167. Two days before the election, the county clerk's office discovered that the polling place for precinct 162, a senior center, had in fact been close for six months. They found a new polling pace and declared an "emergency change" in polling place, moving voting to a community center, also located in precinct 165. Upon finding this out, some of our eager volunteers put up a very large sign on the senior center that read, "attention voters from precinct 162: you now vote at Martin Luther King, Jr. Community Center." Now keep in mind that the senior center, the sign, and the community center were both in precinct 165, and people from that precinct—the people seeing this sign—all voted in precinct 167, halfway across town.

Sound a little confusing? Remember that all these things happened within two days of the election, that very few of the people in our office knew much about the precincts in that neighborhood of Charleston, and that even the people in the county clerk's office gave me contradictory information every time I called them. It took me six hours to sort out the information above, and in that time I sent a dozen voters to the wrong polling place: I know the people in the county clerk's office were sending people to the wrong polling place right up until election day.

And that's just the incompetent part of incompetent, unethical and immoral. Unethical? West Virginia handed down the first two indictments for vote buying to a sheriff and county clerk in a boondock county before we even had the first exit polls on election day. Meanwhile, back in my hometown of Salt Lake City, the county mayor, Nancy Workman, remained in the race until two weeks before election day, ignoring the first five times she was indicted for misappropriating county funds. After indictment number six, she was convinced—reluctantly—to drop out of the race.

Immoral? The supreme court in West Virginia is elected, and the reelection battle over a judge named Warren McGraw holds, in my view, the award for dirtiest smear campaign of 2004. No doubt my colleagues here have their own worthy nominations (I'm sure Tom Coburn is generally a nice guy, Quilly, but it's difficult for me to have sympathy for Mr. Bathroom Quote, no matter how out of context it may have been taken) but the McGraw smear campaign was truly astounding.

Two years ago, Warren McGraw failed to dissent—he didn't even sign, merely didn't dissent—when a convicted sex offender asked to be given a second chance in a halfway house work-release program instead of being returned to prison. And before the phrase "Candidate Koretz supports giving sex offenders a second chance" makes it to the airwaves, let me tell you the reason this offender was kicked out of the group home: drinking alcohol. He has not, as far as we know, been involved in any inappropriate sexual relations since the offense that he was first convicted for: consensual relations with another boy in a foster home where he had been placed after being taken from his sexually abusive father and uncle.

In any case, Warren McGraw failed to dissent when the supreme court allowed this offender to go back to the halfway house. Later the program put in an application for this man as an elementary school night-shift janitor. The school principal investigated the application and, upon learning the nature of the man's felony, sent the halfway house a polite "are you nuts?!" note.

And then, when Warren McGraw ran for reelection two years later, a shadowy group called "And for the Sake of the Kids, Inc" (ASK) made huge media buys, blanketing the airwaves with ads that pretty much accused Warren McGraw of personally "putting convicted rapists in elementary school classrooms."

Then Warren McGraw went off on what I am assured is an uncharactaristically paranoid rant, asserting that this "ASK" group was the product of some sort of powerful enemies he had made as a judge. This did him no good and only made the smear campaign more effective, right up until two days after the election, when ASK revealed it's donor list, and we found out that it was almost single-handedly funded by Jim Blankenship, CEO of a mining company notorious for screwing over it's workers and endangering the environment. A company that had a controversial case before the Supreme Court of West Virginia to increase the maximum load of coal hauling trucks, a case in which McGraw was expected to rule against Blankenship and in which his replacement is expected to rule in the mining companies favor.

So those are some anecdotal examples of all the things that are wrong with American democracy. And people's opinion that we have a good system is generally based on nothing more substantial than a high school civics class; which—as I'm sure Eddie can tell you—is good only for learning the basics of spin doctoring. The shallow charm Bill Murray characters have. For an excellent point-by-point breakdown of everything your history class doesn't teach you, check out books by Professor James Lowen, Howard Zinn and, of course, the best gift I got this year: America: The Book.

And the worst part—the real kicker—is that all the people who will hear no evil about their country will never be able to understand the strength of American democracy. That we have these ideals—life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness—that we can always use as benchmarks, as a way of finding out if a particular candidate, cause or policy is a good or a bad idea. That, for all their never-talked about flaws and great big disagreements about how the government should work, our Founding Fathers did set down a lasting standard on why a government should work.

That is something no other country has. That is why, for all our horrible flaws, America had the greatest electoral system on the face of the planet. And anyone who disagrees is welcome to sit down for dinner with the presidential candidates in the Ukraine.

Friday, December 24, 2004
1000 Words©
Masa in Tokyo has a photo essay of startling quality up:
Today I go to nice restauraunt to drink with my friend. Going to drink with friend is fun. If friend pay for me, it's more fun. But this friend is not such a kind of friend. I anticipate normal fun. But he give me extreme fun!

Spectrum©
[BlogSpectrum continues to fascinate...]
I see no need to force people to be informed. If they don't want to be then it is Darwinism in action...societal Darwinism being the only place that his theory has been proven.
If I might quibble, Quilly--what part of Darwin's theory has not been proven? What part has?

Well, first, what is Darwin's theory? That the offspring of a species are slightly different from their parents, and that the offspring better suited to their environment will prosper and reproduce; further, Darwin speculated that over time, this change—let us call it evolution, though Darwin called it transformism—would change a species of animal so much that it becomes an entirely different species.

This is called "natural selection," and it has been proven, again and again, to be scientific fact. It can be seen in the ligers of Africa, who prove that Tiger and Lion descend from a common ancestor; in the birds of the Galapagos Islands, whose beaks can change shape in mere generations; in the breeding records of the Westminster Kennel Club, freely available at their annual dog show.

Of course when people say, "evolution has never been proven," they mean, "it has never been proven that man descends from monkeys." That is true, and will remain true until the time machine gets back from the shop. The debate is between those who think that the well-demonstrated law of natural selection probably applies to humans just as it applies to the animal kingdom, and those who see something wholly unnatural—divine, some would say, a word which here means precisely the same thing as unnatural, "something that cannot be explained by nature"—in mankind and reason that there must therefore have been some supernatural process at work in the beginning of mankind. In general, the question is, are we of the Earth, or beyond the Earth?

It's a question beyond the scope of this blog, of course. And whichever way you fall on it, Darwin's ideas are too important and complex to be reduced to a simple one liner. A rather stupid Englishman named Herbert Spencer coined the phrase "survival of the fittest" when he invented Social Darwinism, a philosophy as opposed to a theory, and something of which Charles Darwin vehemently disapproved, as Social Darwinism was invented mostly as a way to make the Robber Barons feel better about not giving a shit for poor people.

It hasn't changed much since, although apparently it's now an excuse for not caring about stupid people, too.

Thursday, December 23, 2004
Spectrum©
[This week's question on BlogSpectrum: What is the greatest threat to America today?]
The concentration of wealth and power in the hands of the few is the death knell of democracy. No republic in the history of humanity has survived this.

——Garrison Keillior

Columbia Journalism Review has a fascinating list of which companies in America own what. The second half of the twentieth century was a time when we witnessed something very sinister, in which a chart reflecting the various news sources in this country ceased to be a crowded jumble of various, contradictory voices, and started to look like an octopus—el calimari, as Gore Vidal put it— with every tentacle leading, ultimately, to the same few dark and hungry beaks. On the New York Post website, there is a banner that can direct you to papers from dozens of countries—all of them owned by Murdoch. Just before I left Utah, the paper I read as a child, The Salt Lake Tribune, was taken over by Media News Group, Inc., the same company that owns the Charleston Daily Mail, the "local" paper where I now live, half a continent away.

Of course, the big media tycoons and the independent voices have co-existed for a very long time. The Rupert Murdoch's of this country have been driving us into unnecessary, pointless wars since William Randolph Hearst blamed the sinking of the U.S.S. Maine on shadowy Enemies of Freedom and started the Spanish-American War. And those of use with the ability to think for ourselves have always been able to find independent voices, from the Abolitionist newspapers of the 1840's to the indie weekly paper where I was a summer intern the year before I started high school.

And we don't lack voices from either side of the aisle, as Michael Moore and Rush Limbaugh prove. We also have smart people in media, despite Michael Moore and Rush Limbaugh. The problem is that both Michael Moore and Rush Limbaugh are tentacles of the same calimari. The same company that put up the money to make Fahrenheit 9-11 owns Limbaugh's home station. (That company, ironically, is Disney.)

That's a strength of capitalism, right? Certainly Ayn Rand would say so: no matter what your beliefs, if you can get people to watch you, you can get on TV.

Well, here's the sinister part: these eleven companies that own ninety percent of the news sources in America all report the same news. Here's a pop quiz, kids: which enormously influential, wealthy and long-lived leader of an Arab country died in the run-up to 2004 presidential election?

If you said Shiekh Zayed bin Sultan Al Nahyan, president of the United Arab Emirates, congratulations—you're from Europe! The number of people I known in this country who knew about Sheikh Zayed's death when it happened number precisely four. The number who knew about his death and have never been American ambassador to Abu Dhabi is just three!

Sheik Zayed was president of the UAE from 1971 until 2004. That's over thirty years. In that time he was one of the most influential and powerful men in the Middle East. He spent decades building hospitals, schools and universities across his country, he was tolerant of Christians, his majlis (a traditional Arab council) was open to the public, he even gave up hunting with firearms to encourage conservation—in short, he was one of the most liberal, democratic leaders in the entire region. He advocated the presence of women in the workplace and allowed a private media; not with as much freedom as we have here, unfortunately, but a thousand times better than Iran or even Russia. In other words, precisely the sort of person we want to be encouraging, supporting and helping.

Yet not one person in the American media have I heard lament his passing. Does Tucker Carlson know who Sheik Zayed was? No. Bob Novak? Hell, no. Does Michael Moore? Michael Moore knows that the Saudi embassy is right next door to the Watergate apartments, an irony I have known and appreciated since I was fifteen.

So we can sit back and listen to the folks on Crossfire or Hardball or Can 'o Whoop-Ass argue about today's scandal, that Yasser Arafat may have owned part of the bowling alley Rudy Giuliani went to—you think I could make that up?—and congratulate ourselves that we have people both red-faced-with-fury and blue-in-the-face-from-yelling on TV. We can sit back and listen to conflicts as scripted and substance-free as the WWF while el calimari gobbles us all up. It would be easy.

The fact that we might do that is the greatest threat to America today.


The above entry may come off as hostile to Michael Moore. I would like to remind readers that Moore wrote and directed one of the better pieces of political satire ever put on film, 1995's Canadian Bacon, with Alan Alda, John Candy, Rhea Perlman, Kevin Pollak, Rip Torn and Wallace Shawn, some of the best in the business. Looking for a documentary? Check out Control Room. Political commentary through the magic of satire? Michael Moore's way funnier than IMAO.

Wednesday, December 15, 2004
Ho Ho Ho
In 1955, a store in Colorado Springs sent out holiday flyers with a phone number for kids to call on Christmas Eve and speak with Santa. Unfortunately, there was a slight misprint and children calling the number listed were put through to the Continental Air Defense Command's operations hotline.

On Christmas Eve, 1955, CONAD's Director of Operations, Colonel Harry Shoup, began recieving phone calls from children looking for Santa. Colonel Shoup had his staff track Santa throughout the evening with CONAD's radar systems, and provided minute-by-minute updates to the children calling in.

CONAD became NORAD in 1958, and later moved to Cheyenne Mountain and Petersen AFB; but they still track Santa every year. The NORAD Santa website will provide real-time tracking this Christmas Eve, and now has some historical exhibits, some music, and messages by people ranging from Peter Jennings and Ringo Starr to Clifford the Big Red Dog and the Los Angles Police.

Hat tip to Walt for that. On a personal note, expect light posting the next two weeks: I fly out to D.C. tomorrow and on to Salt Lake on Saturday. I won't be back here until Jan. 3rd, and I expect to be focusing on some actual life for the next little while.

Happy Holidays!

Tuesday, December 14, 2004
Hickville Dispach©
Looks like there's another Utah refugee out there doing better than I am. NPR reports that former Utah Governor Michael Leavitt is leaving the EPA to replace Tommy Thompson as Secretary of Health and Human Services.



Holly Mullens—Utah's best female newspaper columnist now that JoAnn Jacobson-Welles has, sadly, retiredwrites:
My institutional memory stretches back to early 1998, when I covered social services for this newspaper and the state was mired in an infamous class-action lawsuit, David C. v. Leavitt. The National Center for Youth Law in Oakland, Calif., filed the suit in 1993 on behalf of 17 children who had been horribly abused and neglected in Utah's foster care system. Lawmakers had been warned by child protection experts for years of the mess, and looked the other way.

Leavitt inherited the case in 1993, just weeks after beginning his first term. He certainly can't be blamed for it, but he can be questioned for the length of time it took to fix it.

And it still isn't fixed.

In 1994, the state settled the case, agreeing to overhaul foster care and to increase training and case oversight. The agreement was renegotiated in 1999. A federal judge has been monitoring the state's Division of Child and Family Services ever since and has until 2006 to determine if oversight can end. Under much improved DCFS leadership, the system is nearly in complete compliance with the settlement. But 10 years is one long time to wait, and progress has moved glacially. Nine of those plodding years were under Leavitt's watch, and U.S. senators who question him should press him for the why.
Maybe I'm being a bit hard on the guy. Michael Janofsky at the New York Times points out:
Mr. Leavitt as governor probably had a stronger impact on health-related issues than environmental ones, working closely with Washington to give states more flexibility in managing federal health care programs.

In 1994, the Utah Legislature passed his health care initiative that led to an increase of 400,000 people with health insurance in the next 10 years. In 1995-96, Mr. Leavitt was one of six governors who led efforts to reform welfare and Medicaid.

In 1997, he fought to make the new federal Children's Health Insurance Program a separate entity, rather than an expansion of Medicaid, to protect it from economic downturns that would reduce benefits. In 2002, state officials said, Utah became the first state to win a federal waiver allowing it to cut some Medicaid benefits to provide coverage for a larger number of low-income residents.
I'm a bit surprised the phrase "had a stronger impact" made it into print as a description of Michael Leavitt. Standards at the Times must be slipping, because Michael Leavitt's two terms as governor were characterized by an uncanny ability to not actually have any impact on anything at all. I seem to recall quite a few digs at Leavitt's toupee and some debate over how safe the Christmas lights at the Governor's mansion were. There may have been a small fire.

That's it. Leavitt was the perfect Utah politician: a nice guy with a natural instinct for avoiding controversy. He occasionally hyped the Big Idea, such as an entirely on-line college, or his environmental policy of "enlibra," which is a word that means "lets talk about how we all love beautiful forests and mountains majesty, and not talk about that moose I just hit with my car." Leavitt has spent a year as head of the EPA under George W. Bush without entangling himself in any major controversies—surely the most difficult political task since Lincoln had to keep peace between the abolitionists and the moderates. He has done it and still managed to be what the Seattle Post Intelligencer quite rightly calls "a loyal soldier and shrewd tactician."

As Secretary of Health and Human Services, Michael Leavitt can be counted on to promote Big Ideas, be loyal to President Bush, and avoid the political messiness that comes from doing things.

Monday, December 13, 2004
W&I©
Statesmen are simply politicans who have been dead long enough for us to forget all the horrible things they did.

Me
Five Minutes Ago
Cool, Huh?

Saturday, December 11, 2004
W&I©
The concentration of wealth and power in the hands of the few is the death knell of democracy. No republic in the history of humanity has survived this.

Garrison Keillor

Thursday, December 09, 2004
W&I©
Richard Nixon was the last Republican leader to feel a Christian obligation toward the poor.

Garrison Keillor

Wednesday, December 08, 2004
1000 Words©

Spotted this weekend near 18th & Columbia in D.C.
Was Duke Ellington a Kennedy?

Hickville Dispach©
As I'm going back to Salt Lake over Christmas break, I wanted to see what's up in my old hometown. I was considering doing a post on the recent victory for gay parents in Utah. Or something more depressing about the author about to be excommunicated for questioning the Church version of history.

But then I came upon this:
After a baker's-dozen raucous roller-coaster years, JoAnn is taking early retirement "to devote more time to my husband and other humanitarian causes."
The Salt Lake Tribune is lukcy enough to have all the best columnists in Utah working for them: Robert Kirby, my personal favorite; Holly Mullens, a little new and a lot good; and finally, Rolly & Welles—or had Rolly & Welles, it seems.



JoAnn Jacobsen-Wells' retirment is effective at the end of the year. Their column comes out thrice weekly, and we should all enjoy these last few gems. A few of their highligts:
Like the time we registered our own church to show how easy it is to form a nonprofit religious organization to receive tax breaks. For a fee of $20, the Church of the Holy Rolly was approved for incorporation by the Department of Commerce. Our articles of incorporation carried the state seal and, as minister of our church, The "Left Reverend'' Rolly had the authority to marry. But after two men requested I perform their wedding, the church decided to specialize only in political confessions and absolutions.

During the reign of Queen Dee (Corradini), we also informed folk how to establish their own offshore companies and avoid paying taxes. (Our own company never quite got off the ground.)

We competed in a media shoot-out during the NBA all-star weekend. Wells made a 3-pointer. Rolly went 0 for 10. We once judged a polo match, a fund-raiser for the Utah Opera Company. Later I rode a horse in a media vs. politicians fund-raising match. My horse got an award for putting up with me.

When a state senator suggested reporters should register as lobbyists, we did, listing the public as our client. We rode in a few parades and almost got arrested once for throwing candy from our convertible. We competed in Fantasy Football against other media and a dog that made its picks by choosing labeled dog food bowls.

We angered the Deseret News when we registered with the Department of Commerce the new names its editors were considering, after they insisted we were wrong when we mentioned they were contemplating changing the name.

We have never been sued.
I'm not sure I quite believe that last one, but I guess that's more Kirby's thing. Here's to JoAnn.

W&I©
Every new idea begins as heresy and ends as superstition.

singer David Johansen
on Fresh Air

Tuesday, December 07, 2004
Counting Boots, cont'd
Greg "BLT" Donahue has more to say on troop strength:
Now, keep in mind the figure of 250,000 is for troops deployed in support of operations. That doesn't translate into combat troops deployed. It looks like you're trying to sort through that in your post, but in this day and age, it is getting harder and harder to differentiate between "combat troop" and "combat support"...the example someone mentioned on the bar of the armed jeep driver comes to mind.

As an Air Force example, a single modern fighter bomber, crewed by two and supported by 6 maintenance guys, and operationally controlled by 10 other guys (i.e. intelligence officers using satellite data to tell them where to attack, etc...) is way more effective than 9 fighter-bombers with no maintenance guys and no overhead operational oversight. So overall combat effectiveness can't really be measured by raw numbers of trigger pulling troops.
And so does Adam Maas:
The Army does need to concentrate on given non 11-Bravo's a little more infantry training, maybe going as far as what the USMC does, send everyone to Infantry School first.

Note that there is one problem with the LBJ comparison, the Army in the 60's was VERY different, primarily being composed of short-service draftees on a two-year hitch, as opposed to the current long-service professional army. Any private today is worth 2-3 privates in the old army, simply due to having the training and experience they never had the chance to get. It takes 18 months to train a competent private, Selective Service Hitches were 24 months. So a Draftee would ETS right at the point where they'd had enough training and experience to actually be effective, not to mention the idiotic replacement policy used back then, which severely hampered unit cohesion.

The current 150,000 troops are likely more effective than the half-million that were in Vietnam in '68, in every measure apart from sheer numbers.
Andy Sullivan also thinks things might be going well in Iraq:
And there was an even less-noticed development this past month: the relative silence across Iraq after the devastating coalition assault on Falluja. The military campaign led to the deaths of thousands, including civilians caught in the crossfire, and left much of the city in rubble. It included the awful imagery of a scared U.S. Marine blowing a wounded Iraqi's head off, a scene replayed endlessly on Arab television. Did the rest of Iraq rise up in protest, as happened in the spring during a similar aborted attack on Falluja? Not even close. The Kurds and the Shia understand that their interest today lies in a successful election. They're not unhappy to see Sunni and Baathist rebels get pummeled by American arms. In that, you see the beginning of the new Iraqi reality: a place where 80 percent of the country wants the democratic transition to succeed.
Two things are bugging me. First, due to time constrants, I'm letting other people write my blog for me today, which feels like cheating—and, more importantly, I'm afraid The New Republic will sue. Second, Andy writes further:
The coalition has learned a critical tactic in neo-imperial governance: divide and rule. From the Romans to the Brits, it has long been a useful strategy. By working with the grain of Iraqi ethnic tension, specifically the pent-up hostility of Kurds and Shia toward the Sunnis, who for decades ran the country, the United States has been able to gain leverage against the largely Sunni insurgency. So as Sunni Falluja was pummeled, the Shia were quiet and Kurdish troops actually took part in the operation. Yes, it's a potentially dangerous ploy. Pushing the division too far could lead to civil war. But there's some good news here as well: In a recent poll of 2,210 Iraqis, a full two-thirds of those surveyed said the prospect of a civil war was "not realistic."
So the state of our military is definately better than I thought, and things in Iraq may be going better than I thought. But let's find the clout in this silver lining. "The coalition has learned a critical tactic in neo-imperial governance: divide and rule. From the Romans to the Brits, it has long been a useful strategy."

I'm reading Gore Vidal's Lincoln right now, and I have to wonder: who among our Founders would have thought the Roman Empire a good example for this nation to follow?

W&I©
There's no end to the depravity.

Phillip Cosby
Kansas activist

The left is winning the culture war. The LA Times:
ABILENE, Kan. — Outside, the prairie lies dark and still. In the windowless gray building by the Interstate 70 offramp, a clerk with a tired face rings up sex toys. "Need batteries for that?" she asks politely, again and again.

Adult "superstores" like this are popping up all over rural America — brightly lighted, clean, as well-organized and well-stocked as a Wal-Mart.

Remote freeway offramps are X-rated in Quaker City, Ohio (pop. 563), and Nelson, Mo. (pop. 212), in Montrose, Ill., and Perry, Mich. The Lion's Den chain operates 29 stores in the Midwest, including this one in Abilene, off Exit 272, near the cows and hay bales of Dickinson County.

Pearl Harbor Day
Doing a Google image search on "Pearl Harbor" got me about 200 screenshots of that stupid Ben Affleck movie. Bleech. So, I thought I'd just post an historical seal of the US Navy and ask for a moment of silence...

Counting Boots...
After yesterday's consulate bombing and the recent decision to increase troop strength in Iraq, discussion on the Bar has—mercifully—swerved from Kerry talk to foreign affairs. An interesting question: is the US military stretched thin?

A few barflies think it's not:
From: "Greg "BLT" Donahue"

We have about 250,000 troops actively deployed in operations out of about 1.6 million total available ~active duty~ military, with 145,000 Guard and Reserve helping fill the actively deployed ranks.

http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/ops/global-deployments.htm

Nice try. Next red herring, please.


I've been working on this most of the morning, and I've learned a few things:

First, searching the DoD Defenselink site for troop strength will get you a lot of headlines like "N.M. Teenager Supports Troops" and 'Airman Deploys with Dog.' (That last one comes from DefendAmerica.mil, which shall be henceforth dumped in the "paging Leni Riefenstahl" blogroll.)

Second, the latest figures I could find on any government site was 1.31 million active duty troops in April 2001; so obviously Greg's figure is seems pretty much accurate.

But on no site could I find a distinction between active duty troops and combat troops. The general rule I was always told is ten support troops for every pair of boots on the ground. That can't be right, though. Applying that math to 1.6m would give us only 160,000 combat troops, and with this weeks escalation, we're going to be hitting 150,000 combat troops in Iraq alone by the end of the year. (Remember that escalation I mentioned? So obviously we've been pretty successful outsourcing the support of our troops to Halliburton, and are now doing significantly better than 10:1.

In any case, we now have, according to Greg's source, 250,000 troops deployed in combat, peacekeeping and other operations, with another 150,000 deployed in our various European and Japanese bases, bravely defending our allies from the Red menace. But I still cannot find anywhere a total number of _combat_ troops anywhere.

I expect that to be cleared up pretty soon.

In any case, it's interesting to note that we will have 150,000 combat troops in Iraq by the end of 2004. LBJ had 175,000 boots on the ground in you-know-where at the end of '64; by the end of '68 there were over a half-million troops deployed.

GlobalSecurity.org has a chart claiming we'll have only 9 active combat brigades in Iraq in 2007. But that chart currently shows only 16 non-Guard ACBs deployed worldwide, as of this August. By the end of the year, we'll have 20 ACBs just in Iraq.

Monday, December 06, 2004
Kakistocracy©
Last Wednesday, the US Government made it's case in the ongoing court battle of the Guantanimo detainees. Deputy Associate Attorney General Brian Boyle argued that the United States can detain anyone it wants, in any country, at any time, even if said detainee never knowingly did anything that was anti-American, let alone terrorist. Further, Boyle argued, the detainees at Guantanimo have no Constitutional rights.

These are Boyle's exact words: "Someone's intention is clearly not a factor" and foreigners held "have no constitutional rights."

Meanwhile, in the other Guantanimo case where Boyle is currently arguing that the Bill of Rights was just a suggestion (that's right, he's doing two; he's a go-getter) U.S. District Judge Richard J. Leon pointed out that "torture is illegal. We all know that."

Not Boyle, apparently: he argues that as long as it's illegal for the U.S. to torture people, it's perfectly okay for the U.S. use information it gets from torturing people.

Sic transit gloria, American Republic.

Thursday, December 02, 2004
Kakistocracy©
The New York Times:
ASHINGTON, Nov. 29 - Congress has cut the budget for the National Science Foundation, an engine for research in science and technology, just two years after endorsing a plan to double the amount given to the agency.

Supporters of scientific research, in government and at universities, noted that the cut came as lawmakers earmarked more money for local projects like the Rock and Roll Hall of Fame in Cleveland and the Punxsutawney Weather Museum in Pennsylvania.
Of course, Americans seem to have their priorities in firm disorder:
"Public acceptance of Charles Darwin's theory of evolution is well below the 50% mark, a fact of considerable concern to many scientists," Frank Newport, editor-in-chief of The Gallup Poll, observed today. He noted that given three alternatives, only 35% say that evolution is well-supported by evidence. The same number say evolution is one of many theories and not well supported by evidence. Another 29% say they don't know enough about it to say.

Almost half of Americans (45%) believe that human beings "were created by God essentially as they are today (that is, without evolving) about 10,000 years ago," according to Gallup's poll.

Newport, in his weekly report, cited two possible reasons for these findings: Most Americans have not been regularly exposed to scientific study on these matters; or many Americans know about Darwin's theory, but feel it contradicts a literal interpretation of the Book of Genesis. "Indeed, about a third of Americans are biblical literalists," he writes.
It's not the 35% of Americans who are biblical literalists that worry me, actually. It's the 29% who say they don't know enough about evolution to say, well, anything. Mr. Newport is worried that "most Americans have not been regularly exposed to scientific study on these matters." Americans have not been regularly exposed to scientific study on any matter. I would like to see a Gallup poll to find out how many Americans know what the scientific method is.

Seriously thinking about moving this week.

A Random Observation
...about China.

I have nothing better to do this morning than reflect on how many of my posts begin with the words "I have nothing better to do..." Also, I'm flipping through a 2001 edition of The Nystrom Desk Atlas, and I'm stuck on the graphic showing how many bicycles and automobilies are in use in China. Now, I don't have a scanner, so I can't put the graphic itself up, but here's a picture of an activist in Hong Kong dressed as a condom yesterday, as part of World Aids Day:



The graphic in the desk atlas says that there are 369.2 million bicycles in use in China and only 1.4 million cars. Even assuming that in the past three years, the number of cars being used in China has quadrupled, there are still sixty-five bikes in China for every car. Of course, not many people in China can afford a car, and if they could, China would be just as much of an oil junky as America, but it's plesant to contemplate the possibility of people getting off their butts and hitting the pedals.

More pictures from World Aids Day:





Wednesday, December 01, 2004
W&I©

We need a critique of moral values.

One has taken the value of these "values" as given, as factual, as beyond all question; one has hitherto never doubted or hesitated in the slightest degree in supposing "the good man" to be of greater value than "the evil man," of great value in the sense of furthering the advancement and prosperity of man in general.

The value of these values themselves must first be called into question.

Friedrich Nietzsche
July 1887

The lordly right of giving names extends so far that one should allow oneself to conceive the origin of language itself as an expression of power on the part of the rulers: they say "this is this and this," they seal every thing and event with a sound and, as it were, take possession of it.

Nietzsche again
November 1886

Basic Writings...


As you can probably guess, I'm borrowing my roommate's copy of "Basic Writings of Nietzsche." Recently, we had a visit from a Vice President at the corporate level (so much more influential than a Vice President at the national level) and, in the course of performing the ass-kissing duties that are my responsibility as an officer on Student Government, I was asked why I live in a "red phase" dorm room instead of a "gold phase" dorm room, where I could have a later curfew and 24-hour laundry and snack room access. In my view, less quality time with a Pepsi dispenser is a small sacrifice for a roommate who reads Nietzsche. People are more important than material things.

Which is why I'm a bit worried about my growing anti-social urges. I went down to the rec building tonight and was only able to stand five minutes of actually talking to people before I simply had to cut out and go find something, anything, to sit by myself and read. Sure, this led me to Nietzsche, but it's still worrying. I like to think that people like me, but I seem much more apt to be someone's casual acquaintance ("Hey, what's up? Good to see you!") than an actual friend ("Hey, I called you to say hi!"). Then again, the overly-analytical part of my brain assures me that everyone feels this inadequate.

Ach, I feel this turning into some sort of angst-ridden high-school sophomore's blog wailing that "no one understands me!" I have sworn a vow to put people who write like that to the sword. (As has Johnny.) So, on a positive note, I indulged is sick, horrible, materialistic greed today and—I'm sorry—went shopping at Wal-Mart. I had $80 in Wal-Mart Gift Cards, for reasons passing explanation, and no actual money, so it's the only way I could get gifts for my family.

Now I am being kicked off the computer, so I'll have to skip the insightful conclusion that weaves the Nietzsche and the Johnny and the Wal-Mart together to leave you with a deeply meaningful insight into life. But have a nice day anyway!