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Tuesday, June 28, 2005
W&I©
Do not condemn the judgement of another because it differs from your own. You may both be wrong.

—Dandemis

Thursday, June 23, 2005
On the Flag
So, like a phoenix from the ashes—or, more accurately, like Freddie and Jason—the Flag Burning Amendment is back.

In a statement that would strike Jason Voorhees himself as ghoulish, California Republican Duke Cunningham said, "Ask the men and women who stood on top of the Trade Center. Ask them and they will tell you: pass this amendment." This comment prompted Andrew Sullivan to ask "Can these people sink any lower?" and then answer himself, "Hell, yes."

But even worse than the congressmen who are actively trying to destroy freedom in this country are the good men and women who are doing nothing to stop them. Hillary Clinton's sound bite reminds us that, "As I have said in the past, I support federal legislation that would outlaw flag desecration, much like laws that currently prohibit the burning of crosses, but I don't believe a constitutional amendment is the answer."

Riiight. Normally, I'm not that upset when politicians tack to the center; that sort of pressure helps keep our government in check. But this is not social security or even abortion. This is a plain and simple assault on freedom.

Random Fate:
I only have time to write this one thing: This goes to show that at least 286 Congressmen do not understand the fundamental principles that motivated the First Amendment and the structure of Constitution itself, or if they do understand the principles, they abandon them to pander to the extremists.

This is beyond stupid.

This is beyond partisan politics.

This is attacking the foundation of our freedoms.
And Peter David:
I mean, this concept should be elementary. This should be American Citizenship 101...You can't burn the flag of the United States by burning a representation of it any more than you can burn the Declaration of Independence by burning a copy of it.

You can, however, incinerate the concept of freedom of speech in this country by making a constitutional amendment banning a form of expression for the worst possible reason: It upsets people. No other reason. No one's reputation stands to be defamed, no money lost. No child's delicate mind is going to be threatened from the sight. No panics from "fire" falsely cried in a crowded theater (indeed, nowadays the major challenge is finding a theater that's crowded.) There's no cover here. It's naked censorship, a throttling of free expression by the very governmental body that's sworn to protect it.
All true. But it gets worse:
I got a call from the elementary school administrative assistant this morning.

"Mrs. Jaworski?" I could hear her tapping a pencil against the desk.

"Uh yes, and it's Ms., please."

"Your son, 8, has been suspended for the day. Come here and pick him up."

She didn't give me time to answer, to ask questions, her voice disappeared as if someone cut the line. I stood in the kitchen, my bare feet aching from yesterday's marathon, and I took a deep breath. My son can be a nut at times, but he's never done the kinds of things that troubled kids do. He doesn't talk back, he doesn't pick fights, and he's never destroyed property. I couldn't picture him doing anything scholastically evil. Maybe he stripped and ran around the school naked, I thought. I grabbed my keys and headed out the door.

The principal met me in her office. She closed the door tightly behind me and invited me to sit in a stuffed orange vinyl chair.

"Mrs. Jaworski, 8 has been suspended from school for one day." She wore an arctic blue power jacket over black slacks, and I self-consciously tried to pull my hooded sweatshirt further over my pink pajamas.

"It's Ms., please. And sorry for my attire, but I ran a marathon yesterday and I'm too sore to change this morning." I tried to infect her with my smile, but she wore a tight-lipped expression as frosty as her jacket. "So, anyway. What did he do?" I picked at the hem of my sweatshirt, looked just to the right of her face. I couldn't meet her eyes. I felt nervous. I felt underdressed. I wondered where 8 was.

So she told me what he did. And as she told me, I started to laugh. I didn't laugh a little, either, but I belly-laughed and grabbed my stomach. My son stood with his class this morning, put small right hand over heart, faced the American flag, and recited his own personal pledge of allegiance:

I pledge allegiance to the flag of the United Federation of Planets, and to the galaxy for which it stands, one universe, under everybody, with liberty and justice for all species.

"Mrs. Jaworski. This isn't humorous. The Pledge is an extremely important and patriotic moment each morning in the classroom. I am ashamed of your son's behavior, and I hope you are, too."
So, from the highest levels to the lowest, federal government: bat-shit insane.

The story above has a happy ending, sorta. The more his mother thought about it, the angrier she became, and went back in to take it up with the principal and the teacher. They let the son off with a warning; apparently the only reason the kid got in trouble in the first place is that a parent complained—the boys classmates very maturely didn't give a shit.

The story of the Flag Burning Amendment, on the other hand, is not over. A San Francisco-based Democratic strategist (and we all know what I think of them) named Chris Lehane is quoted as saying, "Democrats ought not put themselves in a position of fighting symbolic fights that are meaningless."

Meaningless, of course, unless you like your first amendment rights. In keeping with the spirit of the little boy who pledged allegiance to the Federation, let's remember what Captain Picard had to say about personal freedom: "With the first link, the chain is forged. The first speech censured, the first thought forbidden, the first freedom denied, chains us all irrevocably."

Wednesday, June 22, 2005
Supremes
The gossip surrounding Chief Justice William Renquist's approaching retirement is reaching critical mass here in D.C. (Then again, this is the first major thing I've been in D.C. to witness, so it's possible that the chattering could exceed even my substantial expectations.) The major question, as posed by Kevin Drum,
Is George Bush likely to (a) save himself some grief and pick an easily confirmable conservative candidate or (b) pick the nastiest, most divisive, most polarizing candidate possible because he's hellbent on showing Democrats who's boss?
This dispatch from the New York Times' White House Correspondent suggests that the annual 4th of July on the Mall isn't the only fireworks display I have to look forward to:
Conservative groups held a briefing last week at the National Press Club and promised to spend more than $20 million promoting whomever President Bush nominates... The liberal group People for the American Way countered with the threat of its 45-computer war room on M Street and a coalition of 70 other groups to fight back.

Caught in the middle was the White House, which had its own war plan but would not say so publicly for fear of looking ghoulish.

Republicans close to the preparations say that the White House has assembled research on some 20 Supreme Court candidates, with more intensive research on a handful of the most mentioned, all federal appellate judges and all conservative: J. Michael Luttig and J. Harvie Wilkinson III of Virginia, Michael W. McConnell of Colorado, John G. Roberts Jr. of the District of Columbia, Samuel A. Alito Jr. of New Jersey and Emilio M. Garza of Texas. The White House also plans mock hearings in which the nominee will field aggressive questions from a "murder board," or a phalanx of lawyers and administration officials playing senators on the Judiciary Committee. Such hearings were conducted for Mr. Thomas and have even been conducted for some of the current administration's appellate court nominees, like Mr. McConnell.

The White House plans to name a point person to manage the process and to create an additional war room on Capitol Hill, in the office of Vice President Dick Cheney, Mr. Specter or Senator John Cornyn, a member of the Judiciary Committee and a Texas Republican.
"Murder Board?" "War Room?" Sure sounds like the President is going the conciliatory, diplomatic route here. In any case, I'm watching this whole thing with a bit of purient interest: Judge McConnell's wife was the single best history teacher I had in high school. She was the only history teacher I ever had who showed even the slightest bit of interest in history itself, and not just preparing us for the IB tests at the end of the year. She was only my teacher for a week, of course—someday I'll do a nice long post just about the way our education system hires and fires teachers. Bleech.

I've never met her husband, but reliable sources close to the situation inform me that he's not as cool as his wife. Then again, few people are.

Once, one of Judge McConnell's daughters interrupted our Mock Trial team's practice and told us, "The model United Nations team doesn't have enough people to qualify for the big meet this weekend. Can a couple of you just show up Saturday and give us some numerical support?" I've entirely forgotten the details of what committee I was on, but I recall getting a certificate for second- or third-place from it. I assume it was the committee where schools would customarily dump the incompetent players they couldn't reasonable kick off the team, because I also recall having difficulty pronouncing the country I was representing. In any case, I bumped into McConnell's daughter—who was on the mock Security Council and eventually a state champion—during a recess. She told me that Pakistan and India were at war and there was a distinct possibility of a nuclear exchange.

"Shit," I said, startling her, "Are they going to cancel the tournament?"

She took a deep breath and explained to me that she had meant the senario in the mock Security Council was an India-Pakistan nuclear confrontation. I told her that I wouldn't have used the word 'shit' if I had known she wasn't talking about an actual, real-life war.

"Good," she told me, "Glad to hear it."

Indie Flicks
In today's New York Times, Sally Potter talks about her new movie, Yes:
We were going to shoot in Beirut, but when the war broke out, the insurers would not let us go. So we decided to shoot Beirut in Havana, while we were there shooting the Havana scenes. We had to shoot Havana in the Dominican Republic, because as an American, Joan Allen couldn't travel to Cuba.

But we obviously couldn't take all the extras into Cuba, so we went to the Arab Union in Havana, and I think the entire Arab population of Cuba was in one scene.
The film is written and performed in iambic pentameter. Seriously.

Tuesday, June 21, 2005
Democracy
Reuters covers Rice's speech at American University Cairo:
"We are all concerned for the future of Egypt's reforms when peaceful supporters of democracy -- men and women -- are not free from violence. The day must come when the rule of law replaces emergency decrees, and when the independent judiciary replaces arbitrary justice," she added.

In Saudi Arabia, [Rice] criticized the kingdom for jailing three activists last month after they petitioned for the monarchy to move toward a constitutional model, saying appeals for reform were not a crime.

"In Saudi Arabia, brave citizens are demanding accountable government," she said in a major policy speech on Middle East democracy delivered in Cairo.
Les Campbell, the National Democratic Institute's head of democracy promotion in the Mid East and North Africa was recently quoted as saying "The administration is using very strong rhetoric. I appreciate and applaud that--the consistent message of democracy and freedom. It gives people strength. Arab activists who might otherwise have been quiet feel if they are thrown in jail, they will be bailed out; if they have an idea, there will be funding. [However,] support for taking risks is lagging behind the rhetoric. It's not clear that the U.S. Embassy is going to be a back-up. And, while we can provide training, we can't provide financial support."

Michael Signer recently blogged the President's statement on the Iranian election:
Was President Bush really trying to trigger a wave of America-loving popular reformist revolt in Iran? Or was he just trying to bolster flagging public confidence here at home in the clumsy democratization experiment currently underway in Iraq?

Well, whatever his intentions were (not trying to be too mysterious here), the President was rewarded with large increases in the turn-out among Iran's conservative base. As Brian Murphy of the AP reports,
The sharp barbs from President Bush were widely seen in Iran as damaging to pro-reform groups because the comments appeared to have boosted turnout among hard-liners in Friday's election -- with the result being that an ultraconservative now is in a two-way showdown for the presidency. "I say to Bush: `Thank you,'" quipped Intelligence Minister Ali Yunesi. "He motivated people to vote in retaliation."
The first-round elections on Friday yielded two candidates: the mild reformer and former president, Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, and the hard-line conservative Mayor of Tehran, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The populist Ahmadinejad -- running on a platform of reducing poverty -- finished a surprising second.
Signer sums up with "there's an utter imbalance between the Administration's rhetoric and its practice."

On the one hand, there's a limit to what we can do to back up our rhetoric in Saudi Arabia. They have oil, ergo, they have us by the balls. However, there are ways to influence these regimes; Joseph Braude's recent essay on the most successful efforts to change the culture of the Arab world, by, of course, Big Tobacco:
there's a dogged determination to view each autocracy not as a monolith but as a mosaic of individuals with conflicting interests of their own, some of whom are identified as "friends" of the tobacco industry and others as "threats" or "opponents." In this respect, [the Big Tobacco lobby group]'s behavior in Cairo, for example, has been similar to that of some of the more relentless lobbying groups in Washington today.
That's one place to start. Giving Les Campbell and NDI is another. Unfortunately, the administration can't seem to get out of the gate.

Kakistocracy©
Matthew Yglesias pontificates on milk, and who's got it.
The reality is that these people are on to something, though perhaps not a viable legal claim. Given that lactose intolerance actually seems to affect most of the world's population (a minority of white folks, but most non-whites and non-whites outnumber whites pretty badly) there actually is something a bit odd about the tone and omnipresence of pro-milk propaganda.
The people he's referring to have been my pet peeve for a few weeks now. Every morning on the bus, I see their ad, which reads "Got Lactose Intolerance?" and, below a picture of some attractive professionals of various ethnicities, informs us "75% of people do (including 90% of minorities). You may be eligible for legal action." Then contact info.

I don't ride the bus through Georgetown. I ride the bus through Anacostia. As Chris Rock put it, "I don't live in the part of D.C. with the museums, I live in the part that elected Marion Barry eight times." That's where this ad shows up, day after day. It's entirely possible that the group behind this lawsuit, the "Physicians Committee for Responsible Medicine," is genuinely concerned about people's health, but everything I've seen makes them look like the reason people make lawyer jokes.

Monday, June 20, 2005
1000 Words©


Don't you just love those irrevernt hippy bumper-sticker folks—oh, wait, this is not a joke.

Kakistocracy©
Jeb Bush is an asshole.
Gov. Jeb Bush said Friday that a prosecutor has agreed to investigate why Terri Schiavo collapsed 15 years ago, citing an alleged time gap between when her husband found her and when he called 911.

Bush said his request for the probe was not meant to suggest wrongdoing by Michael Schiavo. "It's a significant question that during this ordeal was never brought up," Bush told reporters.
Right, Jeb. It's a national crisis.

Working on photos from my trip to Seattle and tweaking the new look.

Thursday, June 16, 2005
The Look
It is finished!

[manaical laughing]

Fiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiniished!

I have completed the redesign of my blog, using code I wrote myself, from the ground up! I now know Cascading Style Sheets, a valuable skill that could qualify me for dozens of high paying web-design posistions had I learned it through some sort of certifying coursework, but because I taught myself, it is nothing but a useless, un-documented "skill"! Hooray!

Ah, the classic, elegant lines of my blog, with it's futuristic-yet-retro simplicity rendered only in black, white, and a color CSS calls "slategray." (That antiquated HTML crap insists on calling it "708090"—what bull! In any case, watch for that background to change on holidays, celbrations, and—most importantly—whenever I feel like it.) The wide body kept entirely separate from the admittedly-not-yet-up-to-snuff archives and blogroll will encourage me to use long, rambling, pointless paragraphs in order to avoid unecessary white space, because InappropriateContent respects our American traditions, and therefore, function will always follow form.

Yay!

By the way, I'm flying to Seattle in about five hours. Envy my cross-country adventures, but pity my layover in—ugh—Newark. I will post pictures when I return.

Reeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeetuurn!

AP Exams
This one is for all of you still at West High School who are looking forward to the AP/IB exams next year:
DJW and I are currently in Fort Collins, Colorado reading AP exams...We eat breakfast, then grade for two hours. Then they provide us with a tasty snack. We grade for two hourse, then go to lunch. We grade for two hours, then receive another tasty snack. We grade for two hours, then go to dinner. After that, many of us drink beer. It is a simple life.

The best exams, the ones that lighten our day, are those of the students who just don't care. Some students get to take the exams for free. Many of these haven't the faintest about the topic at hand. A subset of these spend their 100 minute period writing about their lives. Writing for people you'll never meet seems to be liberating. I've read bitter tirades directed against the entire male gender. I've read multiple loss-of-virginity accounts. I've read about drug use, crushes, future plans, baseball, football, cats, parents and whatever else you can imagine seventeen year olds caring about. All of these get zero points, but I always read them with great care.

Wednesday, June 15, 2005
Southaven, TN
Jack at Random Fate issues a smack-down on me and the others who have been bitching about the Republican Senators who refuesed to co-sponsor the Lynching resolution:
I will not insult your intelligence by saying why Whitehaven was named as it was, just outside the city limits of Memphis, Tennessee, in that turbulent era.

Such was the environment in which I was raised.

The year before I graduated high school, signs appeared around town telling of a KKK meeting in the grounds behind the Jaycee building, an intense irony if you know of the mission of the Jaycees.

This isn't to condemn the Jaycees, however. I want to give an indication of the tenor of the times, even in 1980, in a supposedly more enlightened age that supposedly followed in the South upon the heels of the racist 1960s.

Tuesday, June 14, 2005
Popularity Contest
Kevin Drum has blogged one of those little things that make you say "neato!" Well, it probably doesn't make you say, "neato!" There are anecdotal reports that some of the people who read this thing are normal people who don't care too much about politics, and are actually interested in me as a person. Puzzling, yes, but I still promise to take pictures of my trip to Seattle this weekend.

Anyway, the neat thing is SurveyUSA's list of the most popular senators; specifically, it tracks their approval ratings in their home states. Drum has compressed the list to only the senators up for re-election next year. Hillary Clinton (D-NY) is 4th among senators up for re-election next year, and 16th overall. Robert "I was in the Klan in 1953" Byrd (D-WV) is slightly more popular than Orrin "I still don't mind lynching" Hatch (R-UT). And the man voted "Most Likely to be Re-elected to the U.S. Senate in 2006" is Kent "Who?" Conrad (D-ND).

Kakistocracy©
According to AmericaBlog's list Utah's Senators, Orrin Hatch and Robert Bennett, have refused to sign the Senate's anti-lynching resolution. You heard that right: Orrin Hatch and Bob Bennett refuse to oppose lynching.

And people ask me why I left Utah. The it's so beautiful out there, they say.

Update: When Hatch issues a statement—and he will—saying the lynching vote was unanimous, he's spinning. Here's why.

Monday, June 13, 2005
1000 Words©
This was taken by the Trapper Creek Job Corps Center in Montana. TCJCC is run by the Forest Service and trains forest-fire fighters.

Monday Morning
So, the number people in my office call for computer help is End-User Support Center, or E-USC; people often get the acronym a little bit wrong. This morning, after quickly fixing a problem that had been puzzling a co-worker and EUSC all moring, my co-worker announced, "You should be working at EU-SUC."

I said, "But I don't."

Heh, heh. So, light posting the next week or so. I'm in Seattle visiting family next weekend; this week, I'll be working on a re-design of the web-stie. It'll probably also move over to http://www.xmission.com/~fkoretz/

Have a good week, everyone...

Friday, June 10, 2005
Kos
A Barfly claims to have found this on Daily Kos, but the link he gave isn't working for me.

I was working for Kerry in West Virginia the day the DNC pulled out of the state. Our field people broke out the beer and started celebrating. Of course, the finance staff went up to the military musuem to lie under a tank.
"A cowboy was holding his herd in a remote pasture when suddenly a brand-new BMW advanced out of a dust cloud towards him.

The driver, a young man in a Brioni suit, Gucci shoes, Ray Ban sunglasses, YSL tie, leans out the window and asks the cowboy "If I tell you exactly how many cows and calves you have in your herd, will you give me a calf?"

The cowboy looks at the man, obviously a yuppie, then looks at his peacefully grazing herd and calmly answers, "Sure. Why not?"

The yuppie parks his car, whips out his Dell notebook computer, connects it to his AT&T cell phone, and surfs to a NASA page on the Internet, where he calls up a GPS satellite navigation system to get an exact fix on his location which he then feeds to another NASA satellite that scans the area in an ultra-high-resolution photo. The young man then opens the digital photo in Adobe Photoshop and exports it to an image processing facility in Hamburg, Germany.

Within seconds, he receives an email on his Palm Pilot that the image has been processed and the data stored. He then accesses a MS-SQL database through an ODBC connected Excel spreadsheet with hundreds of complex formula. He uploads all of this data via an email on his Blackberry and, after a few minutes, receives a response.

Finally, he prints out a full-color, 150-page report on his hi-tech, miniaturized HP LaserJet printer and finally turns to the cowboy and says, "You have exactly 1586 cows and calves."

"That's right. Well, I guess you can take one of my calves," says the cowboy.

He watches the young man select one of the animals and looks on amused as the young man stuffs it into the trunk of his car.

Then the cowboy says to the young man, "Hey, if I can tell you exactly what your business is, will you give me back my calf?"

The young man thinks about it for a second and then says, "Okay, why not?"

"You're a consultant for the Democratic party," says the cowboy.

"Wow! That's correct," says the yuppie, "but how did you guess that?"

"No guessing required." answered the cowboy. "You showed up here even though nobody called you; you want to get paid for an answer I already knew, to a question I never asked; and you don't know anything about my business.

Now give me back my dog."

1000 Words©
The best commentary on the possible Byrd/Capito race in West Virginia comes from a WOWK:
By 1976, Republicans had given up and didn't even nominate a sacrificial lamb for Byrd to slaughter.

So if Republicans are 0 for 15 in senate elections since 1960, during which time a third of the gubernatorial elections went to the GOP, why is history about to change?

You can direct that question to Karl Rove.




Donald Byrd (left) has the same last name as Senator Robert C. Byrd. I support Robert C. Byrd in the 2006 elections. However, Donald Byrd is much more cool at parties.

Hezbollah
A gentlemen on the Bar recently asked, "What do we do about Hezbollah?"

Unfortunately, not very much.

Firstly, we really, really, really do _not_ want to be seen as a foreign power messing around in Lebanon's internal politics. (I know that Hezbollah represents a foreign power messing around in Lebanon's internal politics. We'll get to that.)

In the days after Hariri's assassination, the nascent Cedar Revolution wasn't using Iraq as a model, it was using the Orange revolution. And America was not much a part of that. Aside from a State Department warning telling Americans not to eat at parties catered by the Ukrainian intelligence services, we pretty much stayed out of that one until Yushchenko had become the legitimate president and could come to the White House for a nice pat-on-the-back from the president and sincere-yet-clammy handshake from the vice president. At the risk of sounding like a left-wing America-hater, I think there it's very, very good to have a genuinely democratic country that can't even be _accused_ of being an American puppet state.

Okay, you say, but that's a really tortured analogy: the phrase "Lebanon's internal politics" is as big an oxymoron as "military intelligence" or "good writing by Rick Berman." (What? He killed 'Star Trek.' I want blood.) It's true that the whole point of the popular riots in Lebanon was to kick out a foreign power, not a corrupt government. But the way the Lebanese identified with Ukrainians more than the Iraqis should be a clue that American interference with Hezbollah would not go over well at all.

Secondly, while I'm not the most qualified to speak to how much of a threat Hezbollah is militarily, it's not that big a deal in Lebanon politics. First of all, political parties in Lebanon, period, are less important than they are in most countries; especially with the way the constitution guarantees that Christians and Muslims must have equal representation. But even better, Hezbollah's new status as part of the government may put domestic pressure on them to spend more money building hospitals and less money firing rockets into the Golan Heights.

Not that Hezbollah will stop being a terrorist organization and preaching vicious anti-Semitic rhetoric. They won't. I'm just saying that, compared to Hamas and the Martyrs Brigade, they're aren't the biggest problem for Israel or for the U.S. I'm not saying it wouldn't be good to get rid of Hezbollah; just that they're not the number one priority. And the downside is huge. Appearing to mess around with Lebanon just as they're gaining some semblance of independence for the first time since the Carter Administration would be, um, bad. I told you I'd address the fact that Hezbollah is at times nothing but a proxy for Syria and Iran. Well, a proxy still has to be handled a little differently than actual direct interference from those countries. The Cedar Revolution has shown us that Lebanon has enough of a national identity to keep agents like Hezbollah from doing too much damage, as long as Syria doesn't send troops back in. (Hopefully, last week's apparently Syrian hit on columnist Samir Kassir will only galvanize Lebanon's outrage.)

In any case, the best thing we could do right now is to really pressure Syria to stay the hell out. A few statements from Scott McClennan are all well and good, but I would like to see Condi Rice head to the U.N. and give a big, epic speech about how it is the duty of the United Nations to ensure that Lebanon can conduct it's own affairs without the interference of Syria, Iran, Israel, or America. That would be the best possible way for us to keep the pressure on Syria without being seen as having imperialistic designs on Lebanon.

(Also, it would be a helluva informal kick-off for the Vote Condi 2009 campaign.)

Leaving Hezbollah alone is a small price to pay.

Thursday, June 09, 2005
Click Here©
A thousand thanks to Madoc Pope at The Bar for this incredible piece by Kevin Drum. I'd always thought of Kevin Drum as--well, not exactly a hack, but a bit of a shallow reporter. Don't know why. Clearly, I was very much wrong. This article is very, very good.
Ghawar, a uniquely gigantic field which all by itself accounts for more than half of Saudi Arabia's output, has been in production since 1951. A massive water injection program was begun in the early '60s, and today more than 7 million barrels of seawater are required daily to keep Ghawar going. Even at that, though, the best evidence indicates that Ghawar's production may have already begun declining.
This sort of thing is very far from the Carter-era Greenpeace "we're running out of oil!" panic stuff. But it's almost scarier that world oil production will begin to slowly decline just as China's demand is jumping. And if China's recent belligerence to Japan is any indication, things could get...tense. But I love to speculate about China in inappropriate context.

In any event, Drum really only approaches partisan rancor an one point, when he compares the Saudi's possible over-reporting of their oil reserves to Saddam's over-reporting of his WMD capability. The rest of it is even and thoughtful.

I very much like the distinction Drum draws between projected oil production and what can actually be churned out. If we've learned anything from Enron, Dilbert, and our own jobs, for the cube-dweller barflies, it's that long-term projections mean precisely jack shit. And the way practically everyone has a universally rosy picture of future oil production seems a bit, well, desperate.

Of course liberals have been wrong about this before, as President Carter could tell us. But I'm inclined to believe that seeing the first real declines in global production in 2040 is the *pessimistic* guess. And guys--I plan to still be around in 2040.

Further, a century of inexpensive oil has turned the American economy into the fiscal equivalent of, and I don't think this is unfair to say, a crack whore. If the increasing demand from China converges with a production decline the way it looks like it will, that could come back to haunt us.

W&I©
A white man sells guns, no problem. But a black rapper even says the word gun—congressional hearing.

—Chris Rock

You Mean the GOP Isn't a Religion?
Just a little minor craziness from Tulsa.
Board member Dale McNamara, who voted against the proposal [to add a biblical account of creation exhibit], agreed. "I do not like the idea of scripture at the zoo," she said.

Zoo officials had argued that the zoo does not advocate religion and that displays like the [Hindu elephant God Ganesh] statue are meant to show the animal's image among cultures. The same exhibit includes the Republican Party's elephant symbol.

Wednesday, June 08, 2005
Mid-Day Malaise
It's not that I find my new job at the Department of Agriculture boring or anything. No, I would never say that.

I do find myself always getting the cafeteria's dangerously undercooked sushi, just to add a little adventure to my life.

Click Here©
I'm not normally into Gawker. Typing the URL feels like rubbernecking. Heh.

Nevertheless, two wonderful links recently found there:

First, a send-up of David Sedaris. Now, Sedaris is one of my favorite authors (my theiving sister still has my autographed copy of "Holidays on Ice") but this is (Savenelli Voice) hilarious.

Second, this:

Dean & the Dems
So, moderate liberals are, reasonably, freaking the heck out over Howard Dean's recent descriptions of Republicans as all being white Christians. But then Tim Russo has a flash of the blindingly obvious.
As expected, Howard Dean continues digging his own political grave ever deeper, taking the DNC with him. Oddly, the lefty blogosphere is revelling in it as if he is some kind of heroic revealer. ... Perhaps Dean should stick around after all. Dean's troubles are allowing our presumptive nominee, Hillary Clinton, to look utterly reasonable, while sucking up all the attention and attack that Republicans would surely otherwise aim at her. At some point, perhaps Hillary will really cash in by calling on him to resign. Surely the political wind will eventually force her hand on this point. Until then, I'm sure she's happy to watch him twist in the breeze.
There is a tremendous upside to having a built-in, go-to Sister Souluja (sp?) moment right there for you. Joe Biden is merely the first to take advantage, either because Hillary doesn't realize it yet, or—hopefully—because she's just got better timing than that. So he can energize the base and be the party's official pinyata and scapegoat. Why not?

Now, granted, Dean is officially the leader of the Democratic party, and doesn't that put him to a slightly higher standard than someone like Al Franken, who can do the same thing from his comfortable pirch in the broadcast booth? Well, yes, except nobody gives a shit. The people who pay that close attention to the caption below the talking heads on whatever cable show Dean's making an ass of himself on this week recognize that the chairman's a fund-raiser, not a policy-maker. And the average voter can be pursuaded by smart, concise, and intelligent speeches and ads by the candidate herself without ever listening too much to the angry rhetoric that spews from Dean, DeLay, and the rest. At least we have the sense to make our partisans chairmen instead of congressmen.

Howard Dean: It's Okay—He Isn't Actually Running for Anything

Tuesday, June 07, 2005
W&I©
Obviously crime pays, otherwise there'd be no crime.

—G. Gordon Liddy

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Brad DeLong can be very funny. Who knew?

Records Show Kerry Bat-Shit Insane...
...for not releasing them in August 2004. The Boston Globe:
WASHINGTON -- Senator John F. Kerry, ending at least two years of refusal, has waived privacy restrictions and authorized the release of his full military and medical records.

The records, which the Navy Personnel Command provided to the Globe, are mostly a duplication of what Kerry released during his 2004 campaign for president, including numerous commendations from commanding officers who later criticized Kerry's Vietnam service.
One of the comments on Kevin Drum's post reads simply, "I believe Mr. Kerry just began his presidential campaign for 2008." What an odd way to begin a presidential campaign, demonstrating how badly you screwed yourself on the last one. If there really is nothing much in Kerry's records, than releasing them now, instead of last August, calls his judgment—hell, sanity—into question.

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Here's yet another rant complaining about those horrible ivory tower elitists who don't understand what real American's go through.

With a twist.

Kosher Meat
Here's an extraordinarily smart Jewish robot with disturbing homocidial tendancies. (No, I don't mean Ben Stein.)



This cartoon by Ben Baruch was published on Jew School.

Darfur
More on Darfur, from our voices in the wilderness, Democracy Arsenal and Nicholas Kristof. Kristof has another editorial in the New York Times:
A desert town that used to hold about 25,000 people, Labado was attacked in December by the Sudanese military and the militia known as the janjaweed. For several days, the army burned huts, looted shops, killed men and raped women.

For months, Labado was completely deserted and appeared destined to become a ghost town. But then African Union forces, soldiers from across Africa who have been dispatched to stop the slaughter, set up a small security outpost of 50 troops here. Almost immediately, refugees began returning to Labado, followed by international aid groups.

Today there are perhaps 5,000 people living in the town again, building new thatch roofs over their scorched mud huts. The revival of Labado underscores how little it takes to make a huge difference on the ground. If Western governments help the African Union establish security, if we lean hard on both the government and the rebels to reach a peace agreement, then by the end of this year Darfur might see peace breaking out...

In 1999, Madeleine Albright traveled to Sierra Leone and met child amputees there, wrenching the hearts of American television viewers and making that crisis a priority in a way that eventually helped resolve it. Ms. Rice could do the same for Darfur if she would only bother to go.
Meanwhile, Derek Chollet writes, on Arsenal, of the growing movement to get colleges, universities, and states to divest their interest in companies that do business in Sudan:
Harvard [divested] earlier this year, and other major universities are being pressured to follow suit. Last month, ICG’s John Prendergast and Harvard’s Samantha Power sent a letter to 100 university presidents urging them to examine their portfolios for links to Sudan and divest. Student groups have sprouted up and have done good work (the group STAND — Students Taking Action Now: Darfur — has 80 chapters nationwide), but with school out for the summer, progressives should work to pick up the slack.

And a few weeks ago, the Illinois legislature took this one step further: it passed a law to make Illinois the first state to prohibit doing business with Sudan. Illinois’ five pension systems have about $1 billion invested in 32 companies that work in Sudan, which this bill will put an end to. It will also prohibit the state from investing in foreign government bonds of Sudan and investing in companies doing business in or with Sudan.

Illinois might be the first, but it is not alone: A related measure has passed the New Jersey House but is bottled up in the Senate, California’s legislature has a version bouncing around, and just last week, legislation was offered in Ohio’s state Senate proposing something similar.
There's more work to do if we're going to stop this thing.

Monday, June 06, 2005
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From Theologica:
How many Americans go to church regularly?

If you listen to the answers provided by major opinion research firms, the answer usually hovers around 40%...But in recent years this consensus has been challenged. It seems that it’s more accurate to say that 40% of Americans claim to attend church regularly.

In 1998, sociologist Stanley Presser at the University of Michigan—whose "research focuses on questionnaire design and testing, the accuracy of survey responses, and ethical issues stemming from the use of human subjects"—co-authored a study entitled: "Data Collection Mode and Social Desirability Bias in Self-Reported Religious Attendance," American Sociological Review, v. 63 (1998): 137-145 (with L. Stinson). Comparing diaries with actual attendance, they made the estimate that the actual percentage of Americans attending church from the mid-1960’s to the 90’s was about 26%.
Hat tip: Andy

Reefer Madness

This AP photo of Gary Farnsworth toking up appears designed to make San Fransisco's "medical cannabis cooperatives" look like crack houses. The Supreme Court ruled today that people with prescriptions for marijuana in the ten states that allow medical use may still be prosecuted under federal laws.
The closely watched case was an appeal by the Bush administration in a case involving two seriously ill California women who use marijuana. At issue was whether the prosecution of pot users under the federal Controlled Substances Act was Constitutional.

Under the Constitution, Congress may pass laws regulating a state's economic activity so long as it involves "interstate commerce" that crosses state borders. The California marijuana in question was homegrown, distributed to patients without charge and without crossing state lines.
As in the marriage debate, social liberals once again find themselves on the side of state's rights and federalism. LBJ could probably appreciate the irony on that one.
"The states' core police powers have always included authority to define criminal law and to protect the health, safety, and welfare of their citizens," said O'Connor, who was joined by two other states' rights advocates: Chief Justice William H. Rehnquist and Justice Clarence Thomas.
I don't often agree with William Rehnquist and Clarence Thomas. Still, it's nice to see the ailing Chief Justice go out on a high note.

Meanwhile, a recent Harvard study confirmed the blindingly obvious:
And last week, Nobel Prize-winning economist Milton Friedman and more than 500 other economists endorsed a report that said state and federal coffers could reap a net gain of $13.9 billion if marijuana were legalized.

The study by Harvard University economist Jeffrey Miron estimated that law enforcement would save $7.7 billion, while taxes on the drug could amount to $6.2 billion. Miron's study was largely funded by the Marijuana Policy Project, a Washington, D.C., lobbying group that supports liberalizing marijuana laws.
The Bush administration's drug czar, John Walters, countered by claiming that "A growing body of evidence now demonstrates that smoking marijuana can increase the risk of serious mental health problems." That claim is backed up by a government report that found that adults who had used marijuana before age 12 were twice as likely to have experienced a serious mental illness in the last year as those who began smoking it after age 18; therefore, marijuana causes mental illness.

And homeless bums are far more likely to have schizophrenia than the gainfully employed; therefore, being homeless causes schizophrenia. Meanwhile, prohibition robs us of more than $6 billion in tax revenues. We make 1.5 million drug arrests each year, and in the past decade, that has shifted from mostly cocaine busts to mostly pot busts. Thousands of children in my neighborhood of D.C. alone are growing up with fathers in prison for marijuana possession. Some family values, right?

And an even more insidious side effect of our War on Pot is this:
"My big worry is that if you tell a 14-year-old that if you smoke pot, you're going to become psychotic, and then he tries it and nothing happens, you lose credibility," said Earleywine, author of "Understanding Marijuana." "So when you tell him that using meth will make your brain smaller, which it absolutely will, he'll think, 'You lied to me about the marijuana, so I think I'm going to smoke this meth.'"
I feel like the only person left in the country who remembers the 18th Amendment. Blech.

Missing the Forest...
MV has a good summary of the Gitmo story. Most of the recent coverage of the U.S. prison at Guantanimo Bay, Cuba, has revolved around Amnesty International's recent charactarization of the prison as "the gulag of our times." Quilly has eviscerated Amnesty USA's boss, William Schulz, for the comparison. Schulz has begun to back off while Amnesty's Deputy Secretary-General, out of London, defended the charge.

Meanwhile, while the talking heads debate semantics, Senator Joe Biden seems to be the only one who gets the the big picture:
Biden did not agree with [Amnesty's] description, but said the facility was doing the United States more harm than good.

"The bottom line is I think more Americans are in jeopardy as a consequence of the perception that exists worldwide with its existence than if there were no Gitmo," Biden stated.
Well, duh.

Darfur
Following the discussion on the Spectrum last week on the Darfur, to which I contributed, two pieces this weekend. First, Nicholas Kristof explains why Darfur is the greatest humanitarian crisis in the world right now (a sadly competitive title).
Doctors Without Borders issued an excellent report in March noting that it alone treated almost 500 rapes in a four-and-a-half-month period. Sudan finally reacted to the report a few days ago - by arresting an Englishman and a Dutchman working for Doctors Without Borders.
Then, Suzanne Nossel writes Top 10 Things To Do for Darfur Short of U.S. Military Intervention.

BCBC©
Andrew Sullivan's recent piece in the Times of London dissects Hillary Clinton's behavior as a senator, and comes to the startling conclusion that she is running for president. His closer suggests a good title for posts covering the former first lady's quest to become our first real first lady.
It's too early, of course, to say anything with much conviction about the future. But you can confidently say that Hillary has prepared herself with a discipline and intelligence that has prompted some of her critics, including me, to take another look. She has the money, she has the beginnings of a centrist appeal, she'll have a Democratic party desperate to win back the White House. Bush-Clinton-Bush-Clinton?

In the strange nepotism that has always bedevilled American politics weirder things have happened.

Friday, June 03, 2005
Country Roads
A new poll from West Virginia shows Senator Byrd running nearly neck-in-neck with Republican Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito. Yikes.

Immediately upon hearing the news, Christiana announced "that's what I'm doing after the Bar, I guess." If this poll is at all accurate, she's not the only one who'll be heading back to West Virginia in 2006.

Click Here©
Wow, so the opening paragraph of this article in the New York Times is, at the very least, something that will keep my father amused for weeks:
A team of scientists at the University of Utah has proposed that the unusual pattern of genetic diseases seen among Jews of central or northern European origin, or Ashkenazim, is the result of natural selection for enhanced intellectual ability.
Steven Pinker, a cognitive scientist at Harvard, insightfully points out it "would be hard to overstate how politically incorrect this paper is." I can see why he's a professor at Harvard.

In any case, the article goes on to describe the ongoing debate between those who think the clustering of Ashkenazic diseases among the Ashkenasim are side effects of genes that promote intelligence, and those who believe the clustering is caused by something called the "founder effect." The article does an admirable job covering what appears to be a vigorous scientific debate, summarizing views of diverging researchers without descending too far into the technobable. Okay, so it doesn't explain what in the world the "founder effect" is—something to do with the Founders from "Star Trek: Deep Space Nine," perhaps—but aside from that one oversight, it's excellent coverage of a fascinating debate.

Darfur
Earlier this year, one of my oldest friends came to D.C. with her college's chapter of Amnesty International for a conference on Darfur. Two days of workshops and lectures in the labyrinthine basements of the Holocaust Museum. (Then, when she finally gets an evening off, she drags me to see “Hotel Rowanda.” I'm trying to get her help.) My point of course is that while Darfur is only just beginning to enter the public conciousness, it's been on the agenda of those rare creatures, the liberal foreign policy wonks, for quite some time.

For the best writing on the subject, check out Democracy Arsenal, here. The authors are a collection of liberal FP wonks, mostly from think tanks and beltway firms; several former Clinton appointees, including his foreign policy speechwriter and a deputy ambassador to the UN. The blog has no less than six entries on Darfur in the last week.

Right now, the concensus seems to be that what's needed in the Darfur is NATO involvement.
The Darfur mission is highlighting the AU's weaknesses in terms of capabilities, equipment and funding. The most obvious short-term solution is a hefty NATO backstop to an AU force, likely going beyond the logistics, transport and training they are providing today to include actual troops in country (over the long-term, we ought to be thinking about measures like those outlined here, including a long-term investment in developing capable military leadership for a standing AU force). This is what Derek, Madeleine Albright and others have been urging. A large amount of U.S. energy has been expended over the last decade in sustaining and expanding NATO in preparation for a post-Cold War role. With Europe chaotic but essential secure and peaceful, right now its hard to imagine a better use of the capabilities amassed than Darfur. It's also a chance for the many European countries that are not entangled in Iraq to share some of the burden of keeping the global peace, something they profess willingness to do. Building consensus for a robust NATO mission won't be easy, but the U.S. is obligated to try.
But putting troops on the ground in Darfur—AU, UN, or NATO—is not going to resolve the central issue. Darfur is part of a larger problem. I'm not just talking about the Sudanese Civil War, which has been rolling damn near longer than I've been alive. I'm talking about Rwanda, where Hutu and Tutsi kill each other over what is literally school-yard name calling. I'm talking about hospitals that do not have clean bandages and pencillin, let alone treatment for Ebola Zaire. I'm talking about Robert Mugabe, who is quite possibly the single worst human being alive right now. I am talking about thirty million people—30,000,000 people—who will die from AIDS before the decade is out.

The disease, poverty, and violence throughout Africa is the greatest challenge the world faces right now.

Thursday, June 02, 2005
The Supremes
So after chasing the rumor around the blogosphere for a while, I have discovered the source: Steve "Freddie" Dillard:
Rehnquist will step down in the next four weeks: I don't think this news will come as a surprise to anyone, but I just received a phone call from an extremely reliable source who tells me that it's a done deal.
Dillard has been described as being "pretty well connected in those circles."

Speculation now turns to our next Chief Justice. Dillard believes it will
be Judge Michael
McConnell
. I've heard the same from a professor at Georgetown. For any of you who went to high school with me, yes, McConnell as in Emily McConnell's dad.

Kakistocracy©
The New York Times:
At a press conference on Tuesday, President Bush, speaking about detainees who had complained of being abused, said they were "people that had been trained in some instances to disassemble - that means not tell the truth." Mr. Bush meant, of course, to say dissemble, which really means to deliberately mislead or conceal. Nevertheless, he knew what he was talking about. The president may have stumbled over the pronunciation, but he's proved time and again that he's a skillful practitioner of the art.

(hat tip: Christiana)

Wednesday, June 01, 2005
1000 Words©

Just in case you haven't been on the verge of vomiting recently. Tee hee.

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The Onion reports:
WASHINGTON, DC—During a recent press conference, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice issued another warning to North Korea, escalating the U.S. empty-threat campaign against the nation. "Make no mistake, if Kim Jong Il does not put a stop to the manufacturing of plutonium in his nation, we will come down on him quite hard," Rice said. "We demand compliance, and if we don't get it, then watch out." Rice went on to say that noncompliance would result in some action that "would be very bad indeed," adding that North Korea does not want to know what it will be in for.

W&I©
I can understand that he may have had some moral reservations
about what was happening.

—Chuck Colson, on Deep
Throat